Update Latest GFS model guidence as well as EURO (ECMWF)
As you may have noticed, there haven’t been any updates in quite a while, and while the blame could be placed on the start of a new personal relationship and thus less time behind a computer screen, the main reason in fact is simply that I cannot find anything worth writing about!
There have no doubt been some interesting severe storms up country, though these have been somewhat isolated events and there haven’t been any real severe large scale situations in quite a few weeks now, at least not that I’ve seen. Further driving this disappointment in local weather is the fact that down here in Cape Town it seems summer has gone into hiding. There was a week long period where we had temperatures around 30’C in places, but since then it’s like we’ve been sent back into May.
The weather down here in the Cape has been everything but exciting. It’s typically been typically cool with temperatures between 16’C and 22’C – far below the season averages. And the rain? While not heavy, there has been almost constant cloud cover for weeks it feels now. Dull, boring “When did I move to Seattle, or is this London?” weather.
I had a peak at the long range GFS earlier today and while it shows nothing exciting for us down here still, with more weak cold fronts bringing rain over the coming weeks, it did show some nice thunderstorm activity up country. But these were all trough induced, so no cut-off low fun forecast yet.
Internationally, hurricane season died quickly, and I refuse to call Sean a storm (I think it’s Sean, I just don’t care anymore). And all eyes are currently on a vigorous non-tropical (duh) storm over Alaska which is bringing near 100km/h winds and flooding.
Quite honestly I don’t even have anything more to say, though will update as soon as things liven up a bit. As for now, I’m going to go make a sacrifice to the meteorological gods that summer will indeed arrive in Cape Town sooner rather than later.