This post will be a mix of meteorological discussions about
While the Cape has their eyes on the large cold front approaching the Western Cape, those who follow tropical cyclone activity have their eyes on a different area of the world. Over the past few days, in the Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Barbara which was a hurricane for a short while before landfall – has been moving towards the east-north-east. The storm made landfall as a 75mph Hurricane in southern Mexico, killing two people while making landfall.
While the odds were extremely slim of the storm making it across land with its LLC intact, at this time (08:00GMT 30 May 2013) the storm has just been downgraded into a tropical depression and sits just over land near the Bay of Campeche.
The real interest here is that the storm has almost emerged into water again and still has its low level center intact, it’s almost unheard of for storms to move from the Eastern Pacific into the Atlantic, but this may be one of the rare, and definitely the only time in modern history that it may occur. At this stage there is still a good chance of the system losing its center before emerging, but with that said, there’s been strong convective bursts on the northern side of the circulation and it looks like history may be made.
Many of the hurricane trackers are busy trying to establish just how the naming would work, should the storm trek successfully across Mexico and into the Gulf of Mexico. Would the system maintain the name Barbara, or would it receive one of the Atlantic names. And would the storm count towards the annual season hurricane count/season numbers.
At this point there is still a lot of uncertainty, and the storm may not even make it – but should the storm manage to emerge into the warm BOC waters, there are going to be a lot of excited trackers. Stay tuned as I will update this article with any progress of this potentially exciting event.