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All Eyes On The Tropics

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    Q : Are there tornadoes in South Africa?

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Cold-front and potential snow W-Cape 30 Jun to 2 Jul 2016
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Cold-front and potential snow W-Cape 30 Jun to 2 Jul 2016

Numerous GFS model runs have hinted at the arrival of a

A Quiet South African Summer

A Quiet South African Summer

Weather throughout the country has been fairly quiet over recent weeks. We often find ourselves with extended spells of severe thunderstorms up country in late summer, with tornadoes occassionally reported. This year however things seem to be a bit more quieter, and dry – especially in the southern parts. One of the highlights has been Haruna 16S, in the Mozambique Channel, and a spell of severe weather up country in early February that brought large hail to certain areas, but otherwise – not really much to write home about.

There seems to be a distinct lack of tropical moisture, or troughs to pull said moisture south this year. Usually during the summer months, the Western Cape will see a good few warm upper troughs bring some excitement either in the form of thunderstorms or just hot, humid, altocumulus filled days. There has been a distinct lack of this activity so far this season – and thunderstorm activity in specific has been little to none, with one event that I can recall. Convection too has been lacking, on summer days we often find ourselves staring at the tops of anvils, cumulonimbus which tend to build around the Breede River area – there has not been that much instability it would seem.

With February almost over already, we only have a month left of what could be called ‘summer weather’ before the pattern swings more into an Autumn one. I for one am looking forward to Autumn, historically over the past decade, Cape Town has had its best thunderstorm activity in the months of April and May – and I am hoping the same occurs this time.

Winter, none the less – is merely around the corner. Let us hope that it brings us more excitement than this summer’s weather.

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