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Violent Hail Storm Hits Klerksdorp

Source: News24.com Johannesburg – Klerksdorp has for the second time

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Severe Weather Begins – 23 June 2009

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Unusual Summer

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Slight Relief For Cape As Cold Fronts Approach

Slight Relief For Cape As Cold Fronts Approach

The ongoing drought in the Western Cape recently saw further water restrictions being implemented, as dam levels are now at an effective 11% capacity. The drought has been made worse, as autumn has not brought the normal rainfall that the Western Cape province is used to experiencing each year. However, this week does show a bit of relief for the area as a cold front is forecast to slip by the south of the country on Wednesday morning, though bringing with it only light rain to the Cape Town area.

Some more rain is possible later on Thursday, according to the 00z run of GFS model. With an area of moisture having the potential to bring some light showers, as another cold front slips far to the south of the country.

The forecast models have been having a tough time over the past couple weeks in predicting the patterns correctly, with each run of the GFS showing quite varied forecasts. The 18z run from yesterday showed far more promising rainfall estimates for this week, while the latest run shows much more modest values, with 3 day totals seeming to be at around 5mm.

For the Cape to move out of its current drought, it will require plenty more rain as the winter season approaches and also require an extended period of rainfall, perhaps well into September, should the dams hope to recover.

It’s not all doom and gloom however, a single exceptional cold front has the potential to bring dam levels up a good amount and should we see a couple of 100mm+ events, we could see the drought situation ease off by the end of winter.

For now, we’re left looking for any signs of rain on the forecast models, and the slight relief that comes with it.

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