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Summer Rainfall Forecast
Written by Administrator   
Monday, 07 September 2009 13:13

While the northern parts have begun to feel the beginning of spring with temperatures in the upper 30s in KZN and a few thunderstorms in the Gauteng area the GFS is showing a classic summer rainfall pattern near the end of the latest run. The 16 day GFS forecast is predicting an area of heavy rains in excess of 40mm in 6 hours for parts of north central South Africa. The origin of these rains appears to be a classic deep trough which is descend down from the north of central Africa.

 

 

Summer Rainfall
 
While at the same time one can note the ridges building a bit better off the southern coast and prohibiting some frontal activity more so than it would in mid winter. I'd say we're looking at overall weather pattern more associated with Spring in the next 2-3 weeks according to what the models are showing.

 

 

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